I would be very interested in a comparison of this, but it feels to me like the CMC of the format, has been going up over time, not down.
I don't fully agree with you often, but I do on this, with a couple of caveats. Vintage and Legacy are basically dead now in paper (and as someone who owns a substantial paper Legacy collection, I am quite ticked off at this). I think the chances of either coming to Arena are slim, though I don't fully rule it out. A similar argument to my argument for adding Modern to Arena exists for Legacy, but the card pool that would need to be added is larger. But, unlike Modern I think Wizards doesn't want to encourage Legacy or Vintage in any way because they can't be realistically played in paper.idSurge wrote: ↑1 year agoI mean really, what we are talking about is the death of non-standard/limited/edh Magic is it not?
Modern will be dead inside 2 years.
Legacy is dead for all intents and purposes.
Vintage is dead for all intents and purposes.
If the current design philosophy is followed, Pioneer will not last 5 years, as it will devolve to hyper aggro and ramp.
That's honestly how I see the long game playing out.
I think that if changes don't happen, Modern will not survive. But, I don't think the format is dead yet. I do however think that there are some very deep issues in the format regarding the sustainability of card printings and reprintings, the balance of threats vs answers, and the future of online play.
With the current design philosophy though, I truly think Pioneer has less than 1 year. The only way they are keeping interest up right now is with constant bans in order to keep the meta in flux so that it continues to feel new. Plus, Wizards has gone hard on sponsoring people to stream Pioneer lately.
Also, I want to add that we're probably not ever getting EDH on Arena, and we all know MTGO doesn't have long left. Wizards has been taking more control over EDH, with EDH like formats lately. I think they're going to try and kill that format too in favor of things like Brawl.